We’re on the ending straight for the Cantina HasLab! Solely seven extra days to go! How do issues look? Funding appears to be 100% safe at this level. The massive query was and is what number of tiers might get unlocked and the way the 4th of July holidays within the US might influence backer numbers. Click through for all the details!
Keep on the right track!
Because the Cantina HasLab is a lot shorter I checked out numbers 7 days earlier than deadline, as a substitute of day 25 for every of the campaigns. So the place are we now?
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The Cantina added an excellent 1,071 backers prior to now 7 days. Nonetheless, that is nonetheless nearly 56% of what the Ghost had 7 days earlier than its deadline. And with that the hole between the 2 HasLabs solely marginally decreased since week 1. The Ghost merely had extra time to realize backers.
However taking a look at simply the second to final week the Cantina outperformed the Ghost, the Ghost added 878 backers in comparison with the Cantina’s 1,071. Nonetheless, the Ghost had lengthy been funded, whereas the Cantina nonetheless wants to achieve this essential milestone.
So what are the doable eventualities?
Within the following 6 days the Ghost added 2,835 backers. Now the query is what the Cantina’s numbers shall be earlier than the enhance on the final day. Let’s say the Cantina can even outperform the Ghost within the subsequent 6 days and might add one thing like 3,400 backers. This is able to fund the Cantina earlier than the deadline and it might enter its last day with approx. 10,200 backers. Relying on how keen collectors are this might imply tier #3 could also be in attain in spite of everything.
Nonetheless, if the 4th of July holidays negatively influence numbers the Cantina might very effectively enter its final day with considerably fewer backers. The Ghost had a number of excellent days in its final week earlier than the ultimate day rush. On its penultimate day it added greater than 1,200 backers alone. It stays to be seen if the Cantina can truly match that. I’m considerably uncertain about that.
Additionally, the Cantina at the moment has 56% of the Ghost’s numbers, if this share is not going to considerably change then the Cantina would find yourself with ca. 13k backers. Wanting tier #2. In actual fact, the Cantina should attain 78.1% of the Ghost’s numbers to unlock tier #3. On condition that we’re at the moment at 56% of the Ghost’s numbers this appears very formidable. However since this marketing campaign is a lot shorter totally different guidelines might apply right here and perhaps the final week is pretty much as good and even higher than the Ghost’s. However even with the Ghost’s last week numbers, 9,662, the Cantina would solely attain tier #2 and fall in need of tier #3.
My greatest guess is that tier #3 is out of attain. Tier #1 is nearly a certainty and tier #2 wants one other 7,193 backers or 75% of the Ghost’s last week numbers. Which could possibly be do-able. So tier #2 is completely a chance. In my view the almost certainly consequence is the Cantina with tier #1 as a bonus.
One factor is for certain although, the Cantina will get funded, there’s extraordinarily little doubt about that now. However whether or not or not tiers #2 and #3 are in attain is unknown. There are too many uncertainties due to the shorter marketing campaign period and the upcoming holidays.
I’ll submit an replace on Friday this time, July fifth, this may inform us how the vacations within the US might have an effect on the HasLab. And it must be a bit extra clearer by then which tiers are in attain.
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